Monte Carlo Simulation in R – Part IV

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Get up to speed with the required R packages and data – see Part I, Part II and Part III.

First, we need an empty matrix with 51 columns, an initial value of \$1 and intuitive column names.

We will use the `rep()` function to create 51 columns with a 1 as the value and `set_names()` to name each column with the appropriate simulation number.

sims <- 51
starts <-
rep(1, sims) %>%
set_names(paste(“sim”, 1:sims, sep = “”))

set_names(paste(“sim”, 1:sims, sep = “”))

Take a peek at starts to see what we just created and how it can house our simulations.

sim1 sim2 sim3 sim4 sim5 sim6
1         1         1         1         1         1

tail(starts)

sim46 sim47 sim48 sim49 sim50 sim51
1         1         1         1         1         1

51 columns, with a value of 1 in one row. This is where we will store the results of the 51 simulations.

Now we want to apply simulation_accum_1 to each of the 51 columns of the starts matrix and we will do that using the map_dfc() function from the purrr package.

`map_dfc()` takes a vector, in this case the columns of starts, and applies a function to it. By appending `dfc()` to the map_ function, we are asking the function to store each of its results as the column of a data frame (`map_df()` does the same thing, but stores results in the rows of a data frame). After running the code below, we will have a data frame with 51 columns, one for each of our simulations.

We also need to choose how many months to simulate (the N argument to our simulation function) and supply the distribution parameters as we did before. We do not supply the `init_value` argument because the `init_value` is 1, that same 1 which is in the 51 columns.

Stay tuned for the next installment, in which Jonathan will apply simulation_accum_1 to each of the 51 columns of the starts matrix and will do that using the map_dfc() function from the purrr package.

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