股市现在让人感觉进入盘整的模式,不过由于股市在6月大幅上升并且因为近期会有部分显而易见的交易推动因素出现,出现这种模式完全不会让人意外。
首要的交易推动因素是美联储主席鲍威尔将于周三就半年度货币政策进行听证。次要的交易推动因素是将于周四公布的6月份消费者物价指数。第三个交易推动因素是市场进入第二季度财报公布时段,财报季目前仅刚刚开始,将在几周内进入密集公布期。
还有部分长期未决的因素,包括伊朗的地缘政治摩擦,以及(美国国会)需达成预算协议和提高债务上限的进程。
两党政策中心表示联邦债务上限在9月上半月即可能触及,早于此前预期的10月或11月初,这一预估立即成为市场关注的重点,3月期美国国债的收益率上升3个基点至2.25%。
与此同时,股票市场的买家在场边观望。
标普500指数期货下跌10点,交易价格低于公允价值0.3%。纳斯达克100指数期货下跌27点,交易价格低于公允价值0.5%。道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌100点,交易价格低于公允价值0.4%。
尽管百事公司(PEP)的财报好于预期,并且据传思科公司(CSCO)将以26亿美元,或相当于每股70美元的现金交易价格收购Acacia Communications(ACIA),该收购价较Acacia Communications在周一的收盘价高46%,但股市下行趋势仍不可阻挡。
大盘并未受到这些消息的影响,这符合市场处于盘整模式的特征。
与之相反的是,受新闻报道影响,交易多数集中在个别公司上。百事公司在盘前交易时段上涨0.3%,RBC投资公司将作为道琼斯指数成分股的3M公司(MMM)的评级从优于大盘调降为与行业板块一致,3M公司的股价在盘前交易时段下跌1.8%。
另一个道琼斯指数的成分股波音公司今日也将被密切关注,该公司将在美国东部时间上午11点公布订单与交付数据。
波音公司公布的数据将影响该公司股票的走势。同时该消息具有推动市场走向的潜在可能,不过目前市场陷入了盘整巩固的旧模式中。
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