明尼阿波利斯联储主席尼尔·卡什卡利认为在冠状病毒大流行之后不会出现V型复苏,同时警告称抵御冠状病毒的过程将长期化。
发生了什么事情
卡什卡利在周日接受哥伦比亚广播公司CBS电视台Face the Nation栏目的专访,他表示除非在未来几个月时间里研发出一些新的治疗方法,冠状病毒的爆发很可能会出现。
卡什卡利警告称“在我们找到有效的治疗方法或疫苗之前,摆在我们面前的很可能是一条漫长而艰辛的路。在这种情况下我很难认为经济会V型反弹恢复。”
卡什卡利认为向小型企业提供的3500亿美元援助贷款“不可能满足美国境内全部小型企业的需求”。他对国会将再次向小型企业提供更多援助表示乐观。
卡什卡利在称赞美联储主席鲍威尔时称“我认为我们的主席非常果断。”他认为鲍威尔与美联储从2008年金融危机的应对中汲取了经验。
卡什卡利强调对病毒传播进行检测的重要。他表示不可能“关闭经济18个月”。这位美联储地方主席认为挑战在于让健康并且风险较低的人群重返工作。
为什么重要
卡什卡利表示每天对成千上万的人进行病毒检测是不大可能的选项。他建议除了目前采取的措施外,应该全力进行疫苗的研发。
卡什卡利表示他正在密切关注因冠状病毒危机而对银行业带来的压力,不过认为银行们目前的资本充足状况较2006年为优,故而他充满信心。
卡什卡利希望应对冠状病毒危机能够采取长期的策略。他解释道“我认为我们应该为我们的医疗体系和经济制订一个18个月的战略。如果疫情最终短于18个月则最好不过。我们应该为最坏的情况做打算。”
他认为一旦全球经济恢复正常运行,因为许多人无症状,冠状病毒将再次死灰复燃。
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