美股市场今天早上的走势相对好坏参半。标准普尔500指数期货目前下跌8点,交易价格低于公允价值0.2%。纳斯达克100指数期货下跌42点,交易价格低于公允价值0.4%。道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌52点,交易价格低于公允价值0.1%。
今天早上股市表现出的好坏参半是由于多种国内外因素所导致的。
香港恒生指数周一上涨3.4%,就目前而言,可以看出投资者对特朗普在周五所发布的消息并不是很担忧(或未曾听到)。
与此同时,亚洲市场因中国5月制造业PMI数据而受到提振。官方制造业PMI数据与财新PMI制造业均在50.0的荣枯线以上,而50.0是增长和收缩的分界线。
欧洲市场同样受益于5月份制造业PMI数据的公布,虽然仍相对较低但高于4月份时的数据。人们预期欧洲央行将在周四的会议后宣布增加债券购买计划的额度。
在国内新闻方面,美国各地在周末出现了因乔治·弗洛伊德之死的抗议活动。许多地方的抗议活动是和平的,但部分地区出现了暴力和破坏财产的行为,而这将妨碍被影响社区的经济恢复。
总体而言,资本市场关注局势的动荡,当并未因此而被掀翻。我们如此判断的客观依据是10年期美国国债收益率上升2个基点至0.67%,美元指数下降0.1%至98.20,而标普500指数期货基本上没有变化。
事情可能会发生变化,但并非没有理由认为资本市场对国内混乱局势的关注是期待这会导致国内通过进一步的经济刺激方案。
这种认知可能提供了部分对市场的支撑,另一个带来支撑的是礼来公司开始一项针对冠状病毒抗体治疗的人体试验的消息。
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